Bantamweight · UFC 333 (UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev) · 24 Oct 2026
No model read. FightIQ publishes no prediction for this bout. The reason and the tale of the tape are below.
No model read. No usable market price existed for this bout when we ran our numbers, so we publish no prediction rather than one built without it.
We publish nothing for this bout — no winner, no method read, no round distribution. The reason is below, not a number.
Published 15 Oct 2026, 19:08 UTC — before the fight. Graded on this page after it.
Chopurov’s UFC debut, against a fighter with 3 UFC fights. Debutants facing an opponent with 1 to 3 UFC fights win 42% of the time (413 of 978 fights).
Chopurov is 2 years younger. With an age gap of 2 to 3 years, the younger fighter wins 57% of UFC fights (1,252 of 2,209 fights).
Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.
What the market has done since it opened — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was frozen.
Colby Thicknesse's implied chance drifted down from 24% to 22% (−2.0pp) over this window. We published no prediction for this bout, so there is no pick marker on this chart — the line above is the market's, not ours.
| Series | Open | Low | High | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Thicknesse — Polymarket | 24.5% | 22.5% | 27.5% | 22.5% | −2.0pp |
| Asaf Chopurov — Polymarket | 75.5% | 72.5% | 77.5% | 77.5% | +2.0pp |
The facts, side by side — Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov.
| UFC 2-1 | UFC record | — |
| 9-1 | Pro record | 11-0 |
| Slickness | Nickname | — |
| 5' 7" | Height | — |
| 69" | Reach | — |
| Orthodox | Stance | — |
| 27 | Age | 24 |
| 135 lbs. | Weight | 135 lbs. |
| Australia | Nationality | Azerbaijan |
| Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia | Born in | — |
| Windang, New South Wales, Australia | Fights out of | — |
| Freestyle Fighting Gym | Camp | Sambo 34 |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.50 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Colby Thicknesse (left) vs Asaf Chopurov (right) — career striking & grappling rates.
Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.
5' 7" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Bantamweight. 2 UFC wins — 2 decision.
-- all-rounder campaigning at Bantamweight.