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Donte Johnson vs Cesar Almeida prediction

Middleweight · Gane vs Hokit · 14 Nov 2026
UFC 3-0 · Pro 9-0
VS
UFC 3-3 · Pro 7-3

Prediction

early read
Donte Johnson 75%
75%25%
as of 1 Nov 2026, 11:02 UTC

By the numbers

  • Age

    Johnson is 10 years younger. With an age gap of 10 years or more, the younger fighter wins 69% of UFC fights (356 of 513 fights).

  • Finishers

    Both fighters finish: at least two thirds of their UFC wins ended inside the distance. When two finishers meet, 65% of UFC fights end inside the distance (358 of 554 fights). Across every UFC fight it is 53%.

  • Win streaks

    Johnson comes in on a 3-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 3 against an opponent on a shorter one wins 56% of the time (436 of 777 fights).

Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Donte Johnson vs Cesar Almeida.

Red corner DonteJohnsonTitletown MMA · Hometown (per Sherdog): Fond du Lac, Wisconsin
VSUpcoming
Blue corner CesarAlmeida“Cesinha”Lotus MMA · Born in São Paulo, Brazil · Fights out of São Paulo, Brazil
MiddleweightPicks published · graded in public after the card
The story
  • Unbeaten — 3-0 in the UFC.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
9-0
Record
7-3
−11 yr27
Age
38
5' 8"
Height
+5″6' 1"
74″
Reach
74″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
3
UFC bouts
+36
2/367% of wins
Finishes
2/367% of wins
Titletown MMA
Gym
Lotus MMA
Fond du Lac, Wisconsinhometown, per Sherdog
From
São Paulo, Brazilfights out of
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.
All the vitals, as a table
UFC 3-0UFC recordUFC 3-3
9-0Pro record7-3
—NicknameCesinha
5' 8"Height6' 1"
74"Reach74"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
27Age38
185 lbs.Weight185 lbs.
United StatesNationalityBrazil
—Born inSão Paulo, Brazil
—Fights out ofSão Paulo, Brazil
Fond du Lac, WisconsinHometown (per Sherdog)—
Titletown MMACampLotus MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Donte JohnsonCesar Almeida
60
Striking
84
83
Defence
52
63
Grappling / TD
14
78 limited sample
Cardio
10
74 limited sample
Chin
35
72
Fight IQ
39
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Donte Johnson3 UFC fights · 66 landed

80.3%
HEAD
39.4%
7.6%
BODY
35.7%
12.1%
LEGS
24.9%

Cesar Almeida6 UFC fights · 213 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Donte Johnson

1.87takedowns / 15 min
1.87 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.20 / 15m
1.87 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.61 / 15m
100%
ACCURACY
33%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Cesar Almeida

0.20takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (7.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

Stats comparison

Donte Johnson (left) vs Cesar Almeida (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min
3.36
vs
3.73
Striking accuracy
46%
vs
60%
Strikes absorbed / min
2.11
vs
2.23
Striking defence
61%
vs
44%
Takedowns / 15 min
1.87
vs
0.2
Takedown accuracy
100%
vs
33%
Takedown defence
76%
vs
53%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.6
vs
0.2
Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Donte JohnsonFightIQ profileAll-rounder

5' 8" southpaw all-rounder campaigning at Middleweight. 3 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 1 decision.

Built from Donte Johnson’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →
Cesar AlmeidaFightIQ profileAll-rounder

6' 1" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Middleweight. 3 UFC wins — 2 KO/TKO, 1 decision.

Built from Cesar Almeida’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Elsewhere on the card

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