Picks · Oliveira vs Lopes ·
Quentin Pasley vs Junior Tafa
Light Heavyweight · Oliveira vs Lopes · 12 Dec 2026
No model read. FightIQ publishes no prediction for this bout. The reason and the tale of the tape are below.
No model read. One of these fighters has no UFC fight on record yet, so there is no career for our model to read and we publish no prediction.
We publish nothing for this bout — no winner, no method read, no round distribution. The reason is below, not a number.
Pasley’s UFC debut, against a fighter with 9 UFC fights. Debutants facing an opponent with 4 to 9 UFC fights win 41% of the time (215 of 525 fights).
Pasley is 5 years younger. With an age gap of 4 to 5 years, the younger fighter wins 56% of UFC fights (929 of 1,653 fights).
Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.
The facts, side by side — Quentin Pasley vs Junior Tafa.
| — | UFC record | UFC 3-6 |
| 4-0 | Pro record | 7-6 |
| — | Nickname | The Juggernaut |
| 6' 4" | Height | 6' 3" |
| 78" | Reach | 75" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 25 | Age | 30 |
| 205 lbs. | Weight | 205 lbs. |
| United States | Nationality | New Zealand |
| — | Born in | Avondale, Auckland, New Zealand |
| — | Fights out of | Brisbane, Queensland, Australia |
| New Haven, Connecticut | Hometown (per Sherdog) | — |
| Fighting Arts Academy Connecticut | Camp | NTG Fight & Fitness |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Quentin Pasley
Junior Tafa
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.25 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Quentin Pasley (left) vs Junior Tafa (right) — career striking & grappling rates.
Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.
6' 4" orthodox volume striker campaigning at Light Heavyweight.
6' 3" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Light Heavyweight. 3 UFC wins — 3 KO/TKO.