Bogdan Guskov vs Robert Whittaker Prediction & Odds

Prediction

early read

Robert Whittaker 59%

41%59%

as of 2 Nov 2026, 22:11 UTC

Tale of the tape

The facts, side by side — Bogdan Guskov vs Robert Whittaker.

Red corner BogdanGuskov“Czarevitch”Gor MMA · Born in Dukent, Uzbekistan · Fights out of Dukent, Uzbekistan

VSUpcoming

Blue corner RobertWhittaker“The Reaper”PMA, Padstow NSW, Australia · Born in Ōtāhuhu, Auckland, New Zealand · Fights out of Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Light HeavyweightPicks published · graded in public after the card

The story

Every one of Guskov’s 4 UFC wins came inside the distance.
Has finished 7 of 18 UFC wins.
Is 13 points more accurate striking than Whittaker.
25 UFC bouts deep — 18 more than Guskov.

18-4-1

Record

28-9

−1 yr34

Age

+3″6' 3"

Height

6' 0"

+3″76″

Reach

73″

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

UFC bouts

+1825

+61%4/4100% of wins

Finishes

7/1839% of wins

Gor MMA

Gym

PMA, Padstow NSW, Australia

Dukent, Uzbekistan

Born in

Ōtāhuhu, Auckland, New Zealand

Dukent, Uzbekistan

Fights out of

Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s.

All the vitals, as a table

UFC 4-2 (1 draw/NC)	UFC record	UFC 18-7
18-4-1	Pro record	28-9
Czarevitch	Nickname	The Reaper
6' 3"	Height	6' 0"
76"	Reach	73"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
34	Age	35
205 lbs.	Weight	205 lbs.
Uzbekistan	Nationality	Australia
Dukent, Uzbekistan	Born in	Ōtāhuhu, Auckland, New Zealand
Dukent, Uzbekistan	Fights out of	Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Gor MMA	Camp	PMA, Padstow NSW, Australia

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Bogdan GuskovRobert Whittaker

Striking

Defence

Grappling / TD

Cardio

Chin

Fight IQ

Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Where they go — head to head

Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Bogdan Guskov7 UFC fights · 238 landed

74.4%

HEAD

71.8%

5.0%

BODY

10.3%

20.6%

LEGS

17.9%

Robert Whittaker25 UFC fights · 1,489 landed

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Bogdan Guskov

0.00 / 15m

TAKEDOWNS

0.71 / 15m

n/a

ATTEMPTS

1.87 / 15m

n/a

ACCURACY

38%

0.70 / 15m

SUB ATT

0.00 / 15m

Robert Whittaker

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.59 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

Stats comparison

Bogdan Guskov (left) vs Robert Whittaker (right) — career striking & grappling rates.

Strikes landed / min

3.6

4.41

Striking accuracy

56%

43%

Strikes absorbed / min

3.5

3.4

Striking defence

46%

59%

Takedowns / 15 min

0.71

Takedown accuracy

38%

Takedown defence

54%

80%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.7

Career averages from public UFC statistics.

Bios

Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.

Bogdan GuskovFightIQ profilePower striker

6' 3" orthodox power striker campaigning at Light Heavyweight. 4 UFC wins — 3 KO/TKO, 1 submission.

Built from Bogdan Guskov’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Robert WhittakerFightIQ profileDecision fighter

6' 0" orthodox decision fighter campaigning at Middleweight. 18 UFC wins — 7 KO/TKO, 11 decision.

Built from Robert Whittaker’s own fight record and striking and grappling figures, recomputed for this build. Full profile →

Go deeper

Bogdan Guskov’s fighter page →Robert Whittaker’s fighter page →Try Bogdan Guskov against anyone else →Try Robert Whittaker against anyone else →Light Heavyweight rankings →What normal looks like at Light Heavyweight →Every current pick →

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Bogdan Guskov vs Robert Whittaker prediction