Magomed Ankalaev vs Navajo Stirling

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Magomed Ankalaev 44% Navajo Stirling 56%

Run as an unbooked fight, the numbers favour Navajo Stirling at 56% — a lean, not a conviction.

Our two reads agree, and closely. Both land on Navajo Stirling — 56% on the first, 62% on the second, 6 points apart.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 45%.

KO/TKO

46%

Submission

Decision

46%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Magomed Ankalaev vs Navajo Stirling — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 13-2 (2 draws/NC)	UFC record	UFC 6-0
22-2-1	Pro record	11-0
6' 3"	Height	6' 4"
75"	Reach	▲79"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
34	Age	28
205 lbs.	Weight	205 lbs.
Russia	Nationality	New Zealand
Teletl, Dagestan, Russia	Born in	Upper Hutt, Wellington, New Zealand
Makhachkala, Dagestan, Russia	Fights out of	Auckland, New Zealand
Gorets Fight Club	Camp	City Kickboxing

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Magomed Ankalaev (left) vs Navajo Stirling (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

3.52

6.47

Striking accuracy

52%

55%

Strikes absorbed / min

2.49

2.56

Striking defence

55%

58%

Takedowns / 15 min

0.85

0.82

Takedown accuracy

24%

25%

Takedown defence

87%

71%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.2

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Magomed Ankalaev and Navajo Stirling have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Magomed Ankalaev vs Navajo Stirling in Build your own → Magomed Ankalaev — record, tape and career → Navajo Stirling — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

More Light Heavyweight fantasy matchups

Carlos Ulberg vs Magomed Ankalaev →Carlos Ulberg vs Alex Pereira →Magomed Ankalaev vs Jiri Prochazka →Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr. →Alex Pereira vs Navajo Stirling →Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Navajo Stirling →

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