Picks · Van vs Kape ·
Joshua Van vs Manel Kape prediction
Flyweight Title · Van vs Kape · 30 Jan 2027
A title fight. Van has been in 3 UFC title fights before; Kape has not. The fighter with title-fight experience wins 65% of these (137 of 210 fights).
Van comes in on an 8-fight UFC winning run. A fighter on a run of 6 or more against an opponent on a shorter one wins 64% of the time (206 of 322 fights).
Van is 7 years younger. With an age gap of 6 to 7 years, the younger fighter wins 60% of UFC fights (639 of 1,062 fights).
Counted from every UFC fight on record before this bout. These are history, not our model’s read.
The facts, side by side — Joshua Van vs Manel Kape.
| UFC 11-1 | UFC record | UFC 8-3 |
| 18-2 | Pro record | 23-7 |
| The Fearless | Nickname | StarBoy |
| 5' 5" | Height | 5' 5" |
| 65" | Reach | 68" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Southpaw |
| 25 | Age | 32 |
| 125 lbs. | Weight | 125 lbs. |
| Myanmar | Nationality | Angola |
| Hakha, Chin State, Myanmar | Born in | Luanda, Angola |
| Houston, Texas, United States | Fights out of | Porto, Portugal |
| 4oz. Fight Club | Camp | Xtreme Couture |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Joshua Van12 UFC fights · 1,411 landed
Manel Kape11 UFC fights · 580 landed
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Joshua Van
Manel Kape
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Joshua Van (left) vs Manel Kape (right) — career striking & grappling rates.
Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.
5' 5" orthodox volume boxer campaigning at Flyweight. 11 UFC wins — 4 KO/TKO, 7 decision.
5' 5" southpaw power striker campaigning at Flyweight. 8 UFC wins — 6 KO/TKO, 2 decision.