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Cristian Perez vs Kyle Nelson

Lightweight · 3 rounds · Buckley vs Malott
Pro 15-2
Red corner
VS
UFC 5-6 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 17-7-1
Blue corner

The prediction

Our pick, its confidence, the method read and the time we published it are on the bout’s own page — the one URL that carries the prediction before the fight and the graded result after it.

Cristian Perez vs Kyle Nelson prediction →

Tale of the tape

Cristian Perez vs Kyle Nelson — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

—UFC recordUFC 5-6 (1 draw/NC)
15-2Pro record17-7-1
—NicknameThe Monster
5' 9"Height5' 11"
72"▲Reach71"
OrthodoxStanceSwitch
27Age35
155 lbs.Weight155 lbs.
MexicoNationalityCanada
—Born inHuntsville, Ontario, Canada
—Fights out ofStoney Creek, Ontario, Canada
Combate Libre AcademyCampHouse of Champions MMA
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

FightIQ Metrics

Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.

Cristian PerezKyle Nelson
63
Striking
64
20
Defence
37
49
Grappling / TD
28
n/a
Cardio
53
n/a
Chin
40
44
Fight IQ
44
Our read — derived, not official stats. Ranked within weight class.

Strike zones

Strike zones

Kyle Nelson

Where the strikes go — and where they land on him. Career UFC totals, straight off the tape.

HEAD55.9%ACC 35%BODY26.2%ACC 72%LEGS17.9%ACC 87%
FightIQ read Balanced attack 56% head / 26% body / 18% legs — no single target dominates.
Share by zonevs field average
HEAD
55.9% acc 35%−6.2 vs field
BODY
26.2% acc 72%+5.4 vs field
LEGS
17.9% acc 87%+0.8 vs field
Where the offence happens
DISTANCE 84%CLINCH 13%GROUND 3%

Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

12 UFC fights · 413 landed

Stat-by-stat

Cristian Perez (left) vs Kyle Nelson (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.3
vs
3.6
Striking accuracy
46%
vs
45%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.56
vs
4.58
Striking defence
39%
vs
53%
Takedowns / 15 min
2.36
vs
1.18
Takedown accuracy
30%
vs
23%
Takedown defence
87%
vs
66%
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.8
vs
0.5
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Live market

The market line next to the live prediction-market price — information only, not a bet call.

Sportsbook line
Cristian Perez-275
Kyle Nelson+240
Live · Polymarket
Cristian Perez76% · -317
Kyle Nelson24% · +317
as of 2026-10-14T13:51:02Z · $121 liquidity. The implied chance is the market's number, not ours.

Go deeper

Want to compare two other fighters? The build-your-own head-to-head lets you stack any two fighters we hold data on side by side — tale of the tape, stat-by-stat and the FightIQ Metrics. What it can't show is a prediction: we only publish a call we can be held to on a booked bout, timestamped before the cage door closes. For the pure hypothetical — two ranked fighters who have never met — see the fantasy matchups, which do put a number on it and are labelled, on every page, as fights that are not booked and are never graded.
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