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FightIQ · Fantasy matchups · Diego Lopes vs Lerone Murphy
Fantasy matchup

Diego Lopes vs Lerone MurphyFantasy matchup — not a booked fight

#2 at Featherweight · #3 at Featherweight
Not a booked fightFANTASY MATCHUP — this fight is not booked. What our two blind models would say if it were.
UFC 7-3 · Pro 28-8
#2 at Featherweight
VS
UFC 9-1 (1 draw/NC) · Pro 17-1-1
#3 at Featherweight

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Diego Lopes 44% Lerone Murphy 56%

Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.

Our two reads disagree. One leans Lerone Murphy at 56%; the other leans Diego Lopes at 54%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 54%.

KO/TKO
36%
Submission
9%
Decision
54%
These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Diego Lopes vs Lerone Murphy — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 7-3UFC recordUFC 9-1 (1 draw/NC)
28-8Pro record17-1-1
—NicknameThe Miracle
5' 11"Height5' 9"
72"Reach▲73"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
31Age35
145 lbs.Weight145 lbs.
BrazilNationality—
Manaus, Amazonas, BrazilBorn inManchester, England
Puebla, MexicoFights out ofManchester, England
Lobo Gym MMACamp—
Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Diego Lopes (left) vs Lerone Murphy (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min
3.79
vs
4.34
Striking accuracy
47%
vs
51%
Strikes absorbed / min
4.65
vs
2.65
Striking defence
46%
vs
60%
Takedowns / 15 min
0.82
vs
1.2
Takedown accuracy
46%
vs
54%
Takedown defence
68%
vs
44%
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.3
vs
0.5
Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Diego Lopes and Lerone Murphy have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

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