Lerone Murphy vs Aljamain Sterling

If they fought

A statistical read on a fight that does not exist — no market, no booking, nothing to grade it against.

Lerone Murphy 51% Aljamain Sterling 49%

Run as an unbooked fight, this one splits our two reads — they do not name the same winner, so there is no lean here to give you.

Our two reads disagree. One leans Lerone Murphy at 51%; the other leans Aljamain Sterling at 56%. When they split like this there is no read worth having — treat it as a coin toss.

The same read puts the chance it goes the full distance at 57%.

Hypothetical run at Featherweight; Aljamain Sterling fought mainly at Bantamweight.

KO/TKO

21%

Submission

11%

Decision

68%

These figures come from the same statistical reads we run on real cards, with the betting market removed — there is no market on a fight nobody has booked. Nothing here is timestamped against a result, nothing here is graded, and none of it counts towards our public record. It is a thought experiment with real numbers behind it.

Tale of the tape

Lerone Murphy vs Aljamain Sterling — the facts, side by side. ▲ marks the reach edge.

UFC 9-1 (1 draw/NC)	UFC record	UFC 18-5
17-1-1	Pro record	26-5
The Miracle	Nickname	Funk Master
5' 9"	Height	5' 7"
73"▲	Reach	71"
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
35	Age	37
145 lbs.	Weight	145 lbs.
—	Nationality	United States
Manchester, England	Born in	Uniondale, New York, United States
Manchester, England	Fights out of	Uniondale, New York, United States
—	Camp	Serra-Longo Fight Team

Vitals and record from public UFC statistics; nickname, nationality and camp from the public fighter register. Where a fighter was born and where they fight out of come from their Wikipedia entry; where we hold neither, the hometown shown is Sherdog’s. The UFC record is counted from the official results themselves.

Stat-by-stat

Lerone Murphy (left) vs Aljamain Sterling (right) — career striking & grappling rates. The fighter ahead on each row is highlighted in their corner colour.

Strikes landed / min

4.34

4.26

Striking accuracy

51%

52%

Strikes absorbed / min

2.65

2.15

Striking defence

60%

59%

Takedowns / 15 min

1.2

2.54

Takedown accuracy

54%

32%

Takedown defence

44%

Sub attempts / 15 min

0.5

0.6

Career averages from public UFC statistics. On “strikes absorbed / min”, fewer is better.

Fights that have happened between them

None.

Lerone Murphy and Aljamain Sterling have never met in the UFC.

Every matchup on this page is a pairing that has never happened. That is how they are chosen: if these two had already met in the Octagon, there would be a real result to read instead, and this page would not exist.

The real fighters

Everything above is hypothetical. These are not.

Change either fighter: Lerone Murphy vs Aljamain Sterling in Build your own → Lerone Murphy — record, tape and career → Aljamain Sterling — record, tape and career → This week's real card →

More Featherweight fantasy matchups

Alexander Volkanovski vs Lerone Murphy →Movsar Evloev vs Jean Silva →Diego Lopes vs Lerone Murphy →Diego Lopes vs Aljamain Sterling →Lerone Murphy vs Jean Silva →Aljamain Sterling vs Jean Silva →

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